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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2020

Petri Nets Validation of Markovian Models of Emergency Department Arrivals

Résumé

Modeling of hospital’s Emergency Departments (ED) is vital for optimisation of health services offered to patients that shows up at an ED requiring treatments with different level of emergency. In this paper we present a modeling study whose contribution is twofold: first, based on a dataset relative to the ED of an Italian hospital, we derive different kinds of Markovian models capable to reproduce, at different extents, the statistical character of dataset arrivals; second, we validate the derived arrivals model by interfacing it with a Petri net model of the services an ED patient undergoes. The empirical assessment of a few key performance indicators allowed us to validate some of the derived arrival process model, thus confirming that they can be used for predicting the performance of an ED.

Dates et versions

hal-04148920 , version 1 (03-07-2023)

Identifiants

Citer

Paolo Ballarini, Davide Duma, Andras Horváth, Roberto Aringhieri. Petri Nets Validation of Markovian Models of Emergency Department Arrivals. Application and Theory of Petri Nets and Concurrenc, Jun 2020, Paris, France. pp.219-238, ⟨10.1007/978-3-030-51831-8_11⟩. ⟨hal-04148920⟩
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